I think ROTK has a good chance of winning Best Picture this year. Sometimes fearlessness, innovation and popularity can't be denied, even by the Academy. I still think folk who believe that the Acamdemy was simply waiting for the last movie to come out to give LOTR its due may be proven right. Add Peter Jackson as Best Director and I wouldn't be surprised to see ROTK do a one-two punch. I think it would be a sentimental and popular move.
To get Special Effects ROTK will have to get passed the Matrix movies. It could well happen, being that the Matrix flicks were a critical disappointment, but with LOTR taking that award two years running it will be interesting to see if they can do it again.
Howard Shore already has a LOTR Score Oscar, though he was unjustly denied a nomination last year, so it will be interesting, too, to see if he gets awarded another.
I agree that ROTK will likely have no actor nominations. If by some wonder Sean Astin does get into the top 5, which would be way cool, but unlikely, he will not win. I'd put my money on that other Sean- Sean Penn.
I'd like to see "Into The West" nominated just for the pleasure of hearing Annie Lennox sing the song on Oscar night. She will likely lose out, though, to one of the songs in "Cold Mountain".
Best Adapted Screenplay could be very interesting, as well. I'll be honest in saying that if Fran, Philippa and Peter don't take it I wouldn't shed too many tears, though I expect to see them at least nominated. LOTR is an overwhelming acheivement, but there are still adaptation issues, especially in character, that I still take exception to.
All in all, it should a fun and suspenseful night of Oscar watching.
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branchandroot
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Date: Monday, January 12th, 2004 05:25 pm (UTC)I think ROTK has a good chance of winning Best Picture this year. Sometimes fearlessness, innovation and popularity can't be denied, even by the Academy. I still think folk who believe that the Acamdemy was simply waiting for the last movie to come out to give LOTR its due may be proven right. Add Peter Jackson as Best Director and I wouldn't be surprised to see ROTK do a one-two punch. I think it would be a sentimental and popular move.
To get Special Effects ROTK will have to get passed the Matrix movies. It could well happen, being that the Matrix flicks were a critical disappointment, but with LOTR taking that award two years running it will be interesting to see if they can do it again.
Howard Shore already has a LOTR Score Oscar, though he was unjustly denied a nomination last year, so it will be interesting, too, to see if he gets awarded another.
I agree that ROTK will likely have no actor nominations. If by some wonder Sean Astin does get into the top 5, which would be way cool, but unlikely, he will not win. I'd put my money on that other Sean- Sean Penn.
I'd like to see "Into The West" nominated just for the pleasure of hearing Annie Lennox sing the song on Oscar night. She will likely lose out, though, to one of the songs in "Cold Mountain".
Best Adapted Screenplay could be very interesting, as well. I'll be honest in saying that if Fran, Philippa and Peter don't take it I wouldn't shed too many tears, though I expect to see them at least nominated. LOTR is an overwhelming acheivement, but there are still adaptation issues, especially in character, that I still take exception to.
All in all, it should a fun and suspenseful night of Oscar watching.